Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.902241 2.283588 2.712286 3.228513 3.831801 4.512995 5.338822
2025-12-28 1.426998 1.930913 2.558906 3.393056 4.465187 5.789400 7.540316
2026-01-04 1.108675 1.657998 2.403383 3.475353 4.961378 6.929924 9.712188
2026-01-11 0.914865 1.490401 2.329689 3.619374 5.521670 8.188495 12.163764
2026-01-18 0.741780 1.307052 2.187097 3.622103 5.858124 9.151749 14.292495
2026-01-25 0.586950 1.114625 1.988557 3.494827 5.963779 9.768470 15.959167
2026-02-01 0.468694 0.955709 1.810716 3.362475 6.027434 10.306823 17.536902
2026-02-08 0.395168 0.859914 1.720075 3.355171 6.281923 11.155035 19.663122
2026-02-15 0.337809 0.782043 1.646307 3.361940 6.552976 12.046065 21.928658
2026-02-22 0.285626 0.702968 1.555646 3.321072 6.728395 12.783596 23.992493
2026-03-01 0.230749 0.605550 1.411315 3.153611 6.645758 13.055409 25.266301
2026-03-08 0.196896 0.547919 1.338221 3.115041 6.798314 13.754736 27.346489
2026-03-15 0.169306 0.499856 1.279271 3.100784 7.004008 14.584872 29.765549
2026-03-22 0.158677 0.492466 1.310613 3.285219 7.633981 16.276307 33.933904
2026-03-29 0.143234 0.468669 1.299499 3.373259 8.071951 17.633391 37.576184
2026-04-05 0.132524 0.455512 1.311772 3.516043 8.641641 19.298481 41.944709
2026-04-12 0.116373 0.422402 1.268013 3.519494 8.904156 20.362307 45.204363
2026-04-19 0.097260 0.374946 1.177908 3.395716 8.863525 20.792279 47.215339
2026-04-26 0.081029 0.331971 1.091392 3.266831 8.793479 21.149110 49.097072
2026-05-03 0.071249 0.308064 1.053973 3.259736 9.010927 22.142375 52.383879
2026-05-10 0.063149 0.287801 1.023397 3.266337 9.261819 23.228778 55.948076
2026-05-17 0.054886 0.264366 0.978586 3.226522 9.391217 24.050819 58.995879
2026-05-24 0.044984 0.230998 0.895366 3.063380 9.183875 24.079644 60.288330